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Polls Applied to the New Pendulum – Pollytics

Something worth taking a look at is how the new electoral redistributions have changed the pendulum in the context of how the current polling is playing out. If we apply the latest combined Nielsen/Newspoll quarterly aggregates at the State level to the new pendulum,it gives us an idea of which Coalition members are fighting for their life. The Coalition held seats below are those where the ALP... Read moreSomething worth taking a look at is how the new electoral redistributions have changed the pendulum in the context of how the current polling is playing out. If we apply the latest combined Nielsen/Newspoll quarterly aggregates at the State level to the new pendulum,it gives us an idea of which Coalition members are fighting for their life. The Coalition held seats below are those where the ALP has theoretically overtaken Liberals on vote estimates. All the figures are in the form of ALP two party preferred vote – where the 2007 election results on the old boundaries for each seat is given, the projected ALP two party preferred vote based on the current polls as they apply to the new electoral boundaries is given, and the practical swing (the difference between these outcomes) for each seat is given. (Note – please don’t call this a generic “swing” or Antony will put you over his knee and spank the crap out of you It’s simply the difference between the 2007 election result and the current polling ) View page